February 28, 2007
GCRIO Program Overview
Our extensive collection of documents.
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Global Climate Change Digest
A Guide to Information on Greenhouse Gases and Ozone Depletion
Published July 1988 through June 1999
FROM VOLUME 8, NUMBER 6, JUNE 1995
IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE: METHODS
"An Approach for
Treating the Uncertainties in the Impact of Climate Change," Y. Gu
(Cellular & Environ. Physiol. Dept., Scottish Crop Res. Inst., Dundee DD2
5DA, UK), J.W. Crawford et al., Environ. Pollut., 83, 87-93,
Uses causal graphs for explicit representation of the links between climatic
factors and crop yield. Uses probabilities to express the uncertainties with the
links, and applies Bayes' theorem to deal with uncertainty reasonings. This
approach allows the prediction to be updated as results from improved climate
and crop models become available.
Future Climate Change in East Asia," M. Hulme (Clim. Res. Unit, Univ. E.
Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK), Z.-C. Zhao, T. Jiang, Intl. J. Climatol.,
14(6), 637-658, July 1994.
Examines climate change over the past 100 years (from instrument records)
and projects it over the next 100 years (using results from climate model
experiments). The region has undoubtedly warmed over the last century; the
substantial role of urbanization cannot account for all the temperature change.
Illustrates a flexible composite-model approach to regional climate change
scenario construction which can explicitly incorporate the effects of model
uncertainty. The scenario presented suggests that by 2050, mean conditions are
expected to be warmer than the extremely warm seasonal anomalies of the most
Two General Circulation Models to Downscale Temperature and Precipitation Under
Climate Change," I. Matyasovszky (Dept. Meteor., Eotvos Lorand Univ.,
Ludovika ter 2, 1083 Budapest, Hungary), I. Bogardi, Water Resources Res.,
30(12), 3437-3448, Dec. 1994.
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